This is a test of the “Classical Asset Allocation” strategy from the paper Momentum and Markowitz: A Golden Combination, authored by three of our favorite minds in tactical asset allocation: Dr. Wouter Keller, Adam Butler of GestaltU/ReSolve AM, and Ilya Kipnis from the blog QuantStrat TradeR. This TAA model employs Markowitz’s classic mean-variance optimization, coupled […]
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Tactical Asset Allocation in May
This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]
Tactical Permanent Portfolio from GestaltU and ReSolve Asset Management
This is a test of the Tactical Permanent Portfolio from the brains at GestaltU and ReSolve Asset Management. The strategy adds a number of dynamic features to a classic buy & hold strategy to better manage volatility and losses. Results from 1970, net of transaction costs, follow. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]
How to Play US Treasury ETFs in an Era of Rising Rates
In our previous post we demonstrated an approach to modeling US Treasury ETF performance in an era of rising interest rates. We showed results like the ones below, simulating the performance of various constant maturity ETFs from the interest rate peak in 1981 to the present (left half of the graph), and in a hypothetical […]
Tactical Asset Allocation in April
This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]
Modelling Treasury ETF Performance in an Era of Rising Rates
US Treasuries and other interest rate sensitive instruments form the backbone of many asset allocation strategies. Investors are justifiably concerned about a future of rising interest rates and the potential impact on those instruments. In this post we model that impact on constant maturity Treasury assets like the ETF TLT, which tracks long-term (20+ year) […]
Philosophical Economics’ Growth-Trend Timing
This is a test of the Growth-Trend Timing (GTT) model from the always thought-provoking Philosophical Economics. GTT combines trends in price and key economic indicators to switch between US equities and cash. Results from 1970, net of transaction costs, follow. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help you follow this strategy in near real-time. […]
Tactical Asset Allocation in March
This is a summary of the recent performance of a number of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]
New Features, Including Strategy Categories
We rolled out two awesome new features for members over the weekend: Strategy Categories Model Portfolio Historical Allocation Analysis Strategy Categories The list of tactical asset allocation strategies that we track is growing long (33 and counting). That’s a good thing; we want members to have access to as large a toolbox as possible. But […]
TAA Strategy Combining Risk Parity & Trend Following
This is a test of a tactical asset allocation strategy from the excellent paper: The Trend is Our Friend: Risk Parity, Momentum and Trend Following in Global Asset Allocation (1). The strategy combines two important tools: trend-following (to determine what assets to hold) and risk parity (to determine how much of each asset to hold), […]