Two new strategies are now available in the members area: New Strategy #1: Vigilant Asset Allocation This is the latest model by Dr. Wouter Keller and JW Keuning, from their new paper: Breadth Momentum and Vigilant Asset Allocation. We’ll be breaking down the strategy in more detail here on our blog in the coming week, […]
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Tactical Asset Allocation in June
This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]
Does the Day of the Month Matter?
Be sure to check out our guest post over at research supersite Alpha Architect: Tactical Asset Allocation: Does the Day of the Month Matter? Backtests of long-term strategies like tactical asset allocation are usually shown trading at the end of the month, both because it makes the analysis simpler and because monthly asset class data […]
Classical Asset Allocation: Combining Markowitz and Momentum
This is a test of the “Classical Asset Allocation” strategy from the paper Momentum and Markowitz: A Golden Combination, authored by three of our favorite minds in tactical asset allocation: Dr. Wouter Keller, Adam Butler of GestaltU/ReSolve AM, and Ilya Kipnis from the blog QuantStrat TradeR. This TAA model employs Markowitz’s classic mean-variance optimization, coupled […]
Tactical Asset Allocation in May
This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]
Tactical Permanent Portfolio from GestaltU and ReSolve Asset Management
This is a test of the Tactical Permanent Portfolio from the brains at GestaltU and ReSolve Asset Management. The strategy adds a number of dynamic features to a classic buy & hold strategy to better manage volatility and losses. Results from 1970, net of transaction costs, follow. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]
How to Play US Treasury ETFs in an Era of Rising Rates
In our previous post we demonstrated an approach to modeling US Treasury ETF performance in an era of rising interest rates. We showed results like the ones below, simulating the performance of various constant maturity ETFs from the interest rate peak in 1981 to the present (left half of the graph), and in a hypothetical […]
Tactical Asset Allocation in April
This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]
Modelling Treasury ETF Performance in an Era of Rising Rates
US Treasuries and other interest rate sensitive instruments form the backbone of many asset allocation strategies. Investors are justifiably concerned about a future of rising interest rates and the potential impact on those instruments. In this post we model that impact on constant maturity Treasury assets like the ETF TLT, which tracks long-term (20+ year) […]
Philosophical Economics’ Growth-Trend Timing
This is a test of the Growth-Trend Timing (GTT) model from the always thought-provoking Philosophical Economics. GTT combines trends in price and key economic indicators to switch between US equities and cash. Results from 1970, net of transaction costs, follow. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help you follow this strategy in near real-time. […]