This is a test of two variations of the Growth-Trend Timing (GTT) strategy from the always thought-provoking Philosophical Economics. GTT combines trends in both price and key economic indicators to switch between US equities and cash. Like most trend-following strategies, the strength of GTT hasn’t been in generating outsized returns; it has been in maintaining […]
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Allocate Smartly Just Got Even Better
We completed a BIG site upgrade over the weekend. 90% of the changes are behind the scenes. We refactored our code top to bottom. This site has come a long ways from its humble beginnings and it needed some spring cleaning. This will also help with scalability, to make sure we stay a few steps […]
Tactical Asset Allocation in June
This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) strategies, net of transaction costs. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Learn more about what […]
The Threat of Rising Rates and the Impact on TAA vs B&H Investing
We’ve written a lot here and on our sister site BetterBuyAndHold.com about the threat of rising interest rates. You can read some of our past work projecting returns for Treasury ETFs and other interest rate sensitive assets here and here. In a nutshell, assuming that we’re near the tail end of this 37+ year march […]
Tactical Asset Allocation in May
This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) strategies, net of transaction costs. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Learn more about what […]
Member Analysis: The Effect of Combining Strategies on Timing Luck
We enjoy hearing from members about their experiences using our platform to analyze and combine tactical asset allocation strategies. We do a bad job of sharing that feedback with other members, and that’s a shame, because there’s often a lot of wisdom in it. So let’s change that. What follows is an email from member […]
Strategy-Asset Matrix
The table below shows the asset classes traded by each of the public strategies that we track. Note that this is the strategy’s entire asset universe, and most strategies will only hold a subset of these at any given time. We compiled this data as part of a big upcoming site upgrade, but a number […]
Comparing Tactical Asset Allocation ETFs to Public TAA Strategies
In this post we compare the performance of the 49 tactical asset allocation strategies that we track to 6 ETFs that provide all-in-one exposure to TAA. We were inspired by James Picerno’s Capital Spectator to run this analysis, so we’ve appropriated his list of 6 ETFs. Of the 6 ETFs, only one has provided results […]
Tactical Asset Allocation in April
This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) strategies, net of transaction costs. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Learn more about what […]
Asset Allocation Roundup
Four recent asset allocation articles (tactical or otherwise) that you might have missed: 1. Bond ETFs in an Era of Rising Rates (Better Buy & Hold) This is our first post from our new platform BetterBuyAndHold.com. Bonds face stiff headwinds in the coming years, and many will underperform what investors have grown accustomed to. That’s […]