We’ve written a lot here and on our sister site BetterBuyAndHold.com about the threat of rising interest rates. You can read some of our past work projecting returns for Treasury ETFs and other interest rate sensitive assets here and here. In a nutshell, assuming that we’re near the tail end of this 37+ year march […]
TAA Analysis
Member Analysis: The Effect of Combining Strategies on Timing Luck
We enjoy hearing from members about their experiences using our platform to analyze and combine tactical asset allocation strategies. We do a bad job of sharing that feedback with other members, and that’s a shame, because there’s often a lot of wisdom in it. So let’s change that. What follows is an email from member […]
Comparing Tactical Asset Allocation ETFs to Public TAA Strategies
In this post we compare the performance of the 49 tactical asset allocation strategies that we track to 6 ETFs that provide all-in-one exposure to TAA. We were inspired by James Picerno’s Capital Spectator to run this analysis, so we’ve appropriated his list of 6 ETFs. Of the 6 ETFs, only one has provided results […]
FX Risk, International ETFs and Asset Allocation
In our previous post, we touched on FX rates and their impact on international ETFs like EFA or EEM. In short, because international ETFs trading in the US are denominated in USD, most are affected not only by changes in underlying assets, but also by changes in the exchange rate between USD and local currencies (1). […]
How Members Are Using Our Site and What That Says About TAA Investors
We’re in unique position to analyze the behavior of Tactical Asset Allocation investors. Our platform helps members analyze 40+ published TAA strategies from many angles, including: historical performance, tax efficiency, exposure to rising interest rates, etc. Members can combine those strategies together into what we call “custom model portfolios”, which they can follow in near […]
Keller Ratio: Finding the Best Strategy for an Investor’s Unique Risk Tolerance
We wanted to take a moment to highlight a post from the always smart JW Keuning describing a novel approach for measuring how well a strategy has performed relative to drawdowns (losses): Presenting the Keller Ratio. Our preferred method for assessing a strategy’s return relative to drawdown has always been the Ulcer Performance Index, but […]
Tax Efficient Tactical Asset Allocation
New to Tactical Asset Allocation? Learn more: What is TAA? In our previous post, we looked at the tax impact of TAA for investors trading in taxable accounts. Using our database of more than 40 published TAA models we concluded that, while TAA as a whole has been relatively tax efficient, the particular strategies that […]
Tactical Asset Allocation & Taxes
Tactical asset allocation, by its nature, generates more transactions than buy & hold. Investors trading in taxable accounts would be justifiably concerned that the negative tax consequences of that might outweigh the benefits of TAA by shifting returns to less advantageous short-term capital gains. Our newest member feature responds to those concerns. We track more […]
What to Expect from TAA When Markets Fall
Markets have started the month weak. We got spoiled last year. After such an abnormally long period of market calm, it’s natural for investors to feel a little anxious. We have no opinion on where the markets go from here. That’s why we’re quantitative traders. We put a lot of time into understanding these models so […]
More About Meta: The Best Asset Allocation Strategies Over Time
Last month we launched Meta Strategy, our own smart approach to combining the 40+ tactical asset allocation strategies tracked on our site. Each month, Meta selects 10 strategies and then trades their combined asset allocation. Members can follow Meta in near-real time. Each month’s 10 strategies are selected based on a number of factors (read […]