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Market Valuation

New Feature: 10-Year Stock Market Return Forecast

We are often asked about stock market valuation models such as Shiller’s CAPE Ratio and the Buffet Indicator. These models predict long-term returns, usually forecasting the next 10 years. Our recent analysis of one such valuation model, the Aggregate Investor Allocation to Equities, motivated us to take our our own deep dive into the subject. […]

Filed Under: Market Valuation, Site Announcements

Our Take on “The Single Greatest Predictor of Future Stock Market Returns”

Readers have asked for our take on “the single greatest predictor of future stock market returns”, aka the Aggregate Investor Allocation to Equities. This indicator was first shared by Philosophical Economics back in 2013, and recently resurrected by Portfolio Optimizer (two excellent sites you should be following). A very brief primer: The Aggregate Investor Allocation […]

Filed Under: Market Valuation, TAA Strategies

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New from Our Blog

  • Super-Secret Proprietary Black Box Strategies September 27, 2023
  • Tactical Asset Allocation Performance During the 2022 Bear Market September 22, 2023
  • Testing “TrendYCMacro” from ġurian and Vojtko of Quantpedia September 5, 2023

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