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Does the Day of the Month Matter?

Be sure to check out our guest post over at research supersite Alpha Architect: Tactical Asset Allocation: Does the Day of the Month Matter? Backtests of long-term strategies like tactical asset allocation are usually shown trading at the end of the month, both because it makes the analysis simpler and because monthly asset class data […]

Filed Under: Alt. Trading Days & Tranching

Classical Asset Allocation: Combining Markowitz and Momentum

This is a test of the “Classical Asset Allocation” strategy from the paper Momentum and Markowitz: A Golden Combination, authored by three of our favorite minds in tactical asset allocation: Dr. Wouter Keller, Adam Butler of GestaltU/ReSolve AM, and Ilya Kipnis from the blog QuantStrat TradeR. This TAA model employs Markowitz’s classic mean-variance optimization, coupled […]

Filed Under: TAA Strategies

Tactical Asset Allocation in May

This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]

Filed Under: TAA Performance

Tactical Permanent Portfolio from GestaltU and ReSolve Asset Management

This is a test of the Tactical Permanent Portfolio from the brains at GestaltU and ReSolve Asset Management. The strategy adds a number of dynamic features to a classic buy & hold strategy to better manage volatility and losses. Results from 1970, net of transaction costs, follow. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]

Filed Under: TAA Strategies

How to Play US Treasury ETFs in an Era of Rising Rates

In our previous post we demonstrated an approach to modeling US Treasury ETF performance in an era of rising interest rates. We showed results like the ones below, simulating the performance of various constant maturity ETFs from the interest rate peak in 1981 to the present (left half of the graph), and in a hypothetical […]

Filed Under: Rising Interest Rates

Tactical Asset Allocation in April

This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]

Filed Under: TAA Performance

Modelling Treasury ETF Performance in an Era of Rising Rates

US Treasuries and other interest rate sensitive instruments form the backbone of many asset allocation strategies. Investors are justifiably concerned about a future of rising interest rates and the potential impact on those instruments. In this post we model that impact on constant maturity Treasury assets like the ETF TLT, which tracks long-term (20+ year) […]

Filed Under: Rising Interest Rates

Philosophical Economics’ Growth-Trend Timing

This is a test of the Growth-Trend Timing (GTT) model from the always thought-provoking Philosophical Economics. GTT combines trends in price and key economic indicators to switch between US equities and cash. Results from 1970, net of transaction costs, follow. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help you follow this strategy in near real-time. […]

Filed Under: TAA Strategies

Tactical Asset Allocation in March

This is a summary of the recent performance of a number of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […]

Filed Under: TAA Performance

New Features, Including Strategy Categories

We rolled out two awesome new features for members over the weekend: Strategy Categories Model Portfolio Historical Allocation Analysis Strategy Categories The list of tactical asset allocation strategies that we track is growing long (33 and counting). That’s a good thing; we want members to have access to as large a toolbox as possible. But […]

Filed Under: Site Announcements

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  • The Lumber-Gold Strategy July 7, 2025
  • Navigating Economic Downturns with Survey-Based Recession Indicators June 24, 2025
  • Cliff Smith’s BKLN Strategy May 21, 2025

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